Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high
- US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904
- Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straight
The US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.
Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals coming from the RSI and the stochastic oscillator. If not, then the uptrend could accelerate towards the 44,165 zone, where the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the previous downfall is placed.
Alternatively, if upside forces fade out, the 20-day SMA could provide extra fuel near 42,132 with the help of the 41,830 territory. Slightly lower, the 50-day SMA might also act as support as it did back in September near 41,435. Should the bears win the battle there, the decline could continue towards the 100-day SMA at 40,650.
In brief, the latest bounce in the US 30 index reflected that the bulls are still in town, though there are still some barriers nearby, with the next challenge expected to emerge near 43,155-43,500.
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