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XM市场研究 - 3小时前Neutral

Quick brief – Tech stocks drive Wall Street to fresh highs

S&P 500 advances to all-time high; Nasdaq 100 gains the mostTech stocks cheer on China’s stimulus news as AI optimism prevailsWall Street celebrated Columbus Day with fresh highs, with the Nasdaq 100 trading almost 1.0% up at a three-month high of 20,493 and the S&P 500 index surging 0.50% to unlock an all-time high of 5,840.Bank stocks excluding Goldman Sachs could not attract fresh impetus following Friday’s encouraging earnings from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, while Tesla’s stock
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XM市场研究 - 5小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD posts another fresh 2-month peak

USDCAD’s bullish wave still continues near 1.3800Technical oscillators near overbought levelsUSDCAD surged to a new two-month high earlier today, just below the round number 1.3800. After completion of the double bottom pattern and the break above the 1.3650 support, the short-term view switched to positive. The pair added around 2.8%, with the technical oscillators confirming the upside move.
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XM市场研究 - 6小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY tests new 3½-month high

USDJPY makes an attempt for steeper bullish actionsMACD and RSI confirm upside momentumUSDJPY is rising towards a fresh three-and-half-month high of 149.71, posting the fifth consecutive green 4-hour session. The next strong battle likely awaits at the 150.00 psychological level, but the next resistance lies at the 151.90 level, taken from the inside swing low on July 25. But first, the price needs to overcome the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is at 151.20.Otherwise, a decline ben
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XM市场研究 - 9小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high

US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straightThe US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals comin
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XM市场研究 - 9小时前Neutral

EURCHF is in the green, back inside the developing patternThe medium-term downward trend is still in placeMomentum indicators remain inconclusiveEURCHF is trading higher again today, a tad below the busy 0.9403-0.9423 area. Last week’s break below the lower trendline of the developing contracting triangle proved premature, as EURCHF quickly returned inside this pattern.
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XM市场研究 - 9小时前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted as China stimulus underwhelms

China announces more stimulus details but no word on size of packageAttention turns to week’s other events as stocks unimpressedEuro and pound flat as ECB decision and UK CPI awaitedChina pledges more support, stocks steadyChinese officials unveiled more measures to shore up the country’s embattled property sector while also pledging further support for businesses and consumers in two separate announcements on Saturday and Monday.
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XM市场研究 - 10小时前Neutral

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

ECB expected to cut rates by 25 bps; EURUSD remains beneath 1.1000UK CPI could provide some clues for the next BoE decision; GBPUSD in weak modeUS retail sales may lower chances for another Fed rate cut; USDJPY flirts with 149.35ECB decision -->  EURUSDThe upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday is this week's most anticipated event. Initially opposed by President Lagarde and her colleagues, the possibility of a rate decrease in October has gained traction among investors.�
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XM市场研究 - 11小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – Gold might take another bullish shot

Gold enters a new bull run; shifts spotlight to all-time highTechnical signals point to more upside; close above 2,650 needed Gold started a new bullish corrective phase near the 2,600 level last week, adding extra credence to its upward trend that has been active for more than two months.On Monday, the price climbed to 2,666, surpassing the short-term falling trendline from September’s peak that the bulls must break to reach the top of 2,670 or achieve a new record high near the upper ban
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XM市场研究 - 11小时前Neutral

ECB to cut rates despite plethora of reasons for a pause – Preview

ECB meets on Thursday; markets expect a 25bps rate cutLots of reasons for a pause, including the lack of staff projectionsBut the ECB might choose to avoid disappointing the marketsThe euro could really benefit from a rate pause ECB meets on ThursdayThe ECB will hold its penultimate meeting for 2024 on Thursday, just five weeks after the September gathering that produced another rate cut.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – US 100 index slows down near September’s high

US 100 index holds within bullish area but lacks steamBulls need a close above 20,325-20,500 to strengthen uptrendThe US 100 stock index is about to open mildly lower on Friday despite upbeat US banking earnings, weighed by Tesla’s disappointing guidance on its self-driving robotaxis.The index stabilized around September’s high and near the constraining ascending line from September 2022 at 20,316 following its bounce off the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Cryptocurrencies remain on the back footEthereum is still trading below its 50-day SMAMomentum indicators could turn bullishEthereum is recording a green session today, but it remains firmly below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which continues to act as strong resistance at this stage. The muted rally in stocks has failed to inspire crypto investors with yesterday's headlines that another crypto exchange is targeted by the SEC adding to the overall negative sentiment.In the meantime
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – Will GBPUSD battle with 1.3000 again?

 GBPUSD’s bearish wave may come to an end soonStochastics and RSI indicate upside retracementGBPUSD is still retreating from the two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3433, with the next strong key level coming from the 1.3000 psychological mark. The price also dropped beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), and if the bearish correction continues, the pair may lead toward the medium-term ascending trend line at 1.2900. A penetration of the diagonal line could take the bears toward
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Bullish

WTI oil futures turn up, create bullish candlestick patternOptimism could resurface if bulls break above 77.16-79.00WTI oil futures bounced swiftly up to 76.23 on Thursday, revealing that the bulls have not left town yet.While the price was struggling to find fresh buyers at the time of writing, the bullish doji candlestick pattern created over the past two days retained hopes for a bullish continuation.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

What’s in store for gold in Q4?

Gold outperforms other asset classes; provides protection against risk eventsTailwinds could persist as Q4 agenda includes US election, Fed policy, and geopolitical risksTechnical outlook remains positive; another bull run could commencePreviously in Q3It’s a golden age for gold which has been exhibiting an unprecedented performance so far this year, adding another 14% to its value in the third quarter despite global central bank reserves stabilizing, to trade up by 42% year-on-year.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar baffled after mixed data and Fedspeak

Jobless claims contradict the stronger CPI reportFed’s Bostic talks about a November Fed pauseDollar trades sideways as the market still expects a November cutOil and gold in the green, pound doesn’t enjoy today’s dataCPI and jobless claims jump, but Fed’s Bostic makes the headlinesThe US inflation report managed to produce an upside surprise with both the headline and core indicators accelerating by an additional 0.1% on an annual basis compared to the economists’ forecasts.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – EURJPY moves within consolidation area

EURJPY struggles to drop beneath 38.2% FibonacciMACD and RSI have weak momentumEURJPY has been developing within a trading range of 155.15-164.00 over the last couple of months, with strong resistance coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around 164.40.Technically, the RSI is pointing slightly above the neutral threshold of 50; howeve
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD extends its bullish rally to new 2-month high

USDCAD completes 8 green daysMACD and RSI indicate strong positive momentumUSDCAD skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3774 during yesterday's session, adding more than 2.5% following the rebound from the double bottom pattern around 1.3420. The aggressive buying activity above the 1.3650 barrier, which served as a neckline, completed the latest formation.Currently, the price is experiencing its eighth straight green day, with the technical oscillators showing more room for impro
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Neutral

Quick brief – US core CPI ticks higher; jobless claims increase

US CPI inflation shows stickiness, but the focus falls on rising jobless claimsUSDJPY loses momentum; gold erases Wednesday’s declineThe US CPI inflation for all items arrived softly higher than analysts expected at 2.4% y/y on the back of increased shelter and food costs in September, although it was lower than August’s reading of 2.5%. Likewise, the core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, edged up unexpectedly to 3.3% y/y, to the highest point since June, marking it
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD continues to ease below 1.0950

EURUSD may find strong support at 200-day SMAPrice loses 2.5% from 1.1200 levelMomentum oscillators near oversold conditionsEURUSD is still developing beneath the 1.0950 support level, after the completion of the double top pattern below the 1.1000 key level, which suggests a reversal of the trend. Currently, the price is also standing between  the penetrated short-term uptrend line and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0870.If the selling interest continues, the price may rebou
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