Quick brief – US core CPI ticks higher; jobless claims increase
- US CPI inflation shows stickiness, but the focus falls on rising jobless claims
- USDJPY loses momentum; gold erases Wednesday’s decline
The US CPI inflation for all items arrived softly higher than analysts expected at 2.4% y/y on the back of increased shelter and food costs in September, although it was lower than August’s reading of 2.5%. Likewise, the core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, edged up unexpectedly to 3.3% y/y, to the highest point since June, marking its first uptick in more than a year.
At the same time, initial weekly jobless claims climbed to a 14-month high of 258k and above the consensus of 231k in the week ending October 4 and continuing claims rose to 1.8 million. While this could be a distortion due to Hurricane Helene, futures markets lifted the odds for a 25bps rate cut back to 88%, reflecting that investors are not fully convinced about the health of the labor market despite last week’s upbeat NFP report.
Consequently, the US dollar lost some ground against its major peers, with USDJPY sliding moderately to Wednesday’s lows near 144.22 before inching up again.
Stock futures came under pressure as well, with the S&P 500 trading 0.29% lower in pre-market hours.
On the other hand, gold turned green, bouncing back towards its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $2,625/ounce.
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