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2024 holiday shopping sales predictions



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Oct 3 (Reuters) -U.S. retailers are gearing up for a shorter-than-usual holiday shopping window this year, with price-conscious shoppers focused on deals and promotions around key events such as Black Friday and Cyber Monday.


Below is a compilation of projections by various data analytics firms:

Source

Forecast

Time period

Geography

Type of spending

Methodology

Mastercard Economics Institute

Projects retail sales to rise 3.2%

Nov. 1 to Dec. 24

United States

In-store and online


Measures in-store and online retail sales across all forms of payment, excluding automotive sales

Deloitte

Expects holiday retail sales to rise between 2.3% and 3.3%

Nov. 1, 2024 to Jan. 31, 2025

United States

In-store and online


Model for forecasting holiday season sales uses Disposable Personal Income as the explanatory variable

Adobe Analytics

Online spending to grow 8.4% to $240.8 billion

Nov. 1 to Dec. 31

United States

Online only

Measures direct consumer transactions online from 5,000 shoppers

Salesforce

Sees global sales growth of 2% and U.S. sales growth of 2%

Nov. 1 to Dec. 31

Global and U.S.

Online only

Analyzes data from more than 1.5 billion global consumers on retail sites using its platform


(Compiled by Anuja Bharat Mistry and Savyata Mishra in Bengaluru; Edited by Shounak Dasgupta)

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