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FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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FX is going nowhere fast - according to options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX is going nowhere fast - according to options Oct 14 (Reuters) - Implied volatility serves as a proxy for realized FX volatility when pricing options. For very short-term expiries, implied volatility is currently exceptionally low. Overnight expiry is the next working day at 10-am New York/3-pm London and is the shortest duration option.
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World shares stuck, oil tumbles as China stimulus plan too vague for investors

GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares stuck, oil tumbles as China stimulus plan too vague for investors China's stimulus announcement fails to inspire investors Q3 earnings, ECB in focus Oil prices down over 2.5% Updates prices, news throughout By Dhara Ranasinghe and Alun John LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Stock markets held below last month's record highs on Monday, while the Chinese yuan and oil prices weakened as China's broad economic stimulus promises at the weekend failed to inspire investors across t
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China doubts as economy struggles, US bonds closed

MORNING BID AMERICAS-China doubts as economy struggles, US bonds closed A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan With U.S. Treasury markets closed on Monday, Wall Street stocks are set to cruise on higher into the unfolding corporate earnings season - but may first have to take early direction from China's weekend stimulus update.
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FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery Repeats with no changes Oct 11 (Reuters) - The recent price action in forward looking FX options shows a market fearful of a bigger USD recovery and positioning itself accordingly. FX positioning shifted sharply toward a weaker USD with the onset of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle.
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Inside China's bid to build sway over global metals pricing

FOCUS-Inside China's bid to build sway over global metals pricing ShFE aims to rival LME pricing benchmarks Plan hinges on lining up international metals warehouses ShFE copper futures volume drops as US COMEX gains share Yuan currency controls may deter international investors State intervention fears also pose challenge By Pratima Desai and Siyi Liu LONDON/SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - China is locking in steps to shape the pricing of the vast quantities of industrial metals it produces and co
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Asia shares await China markets' response to detail-thin stimulus pledges

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares await China markets' response to detail-thin stimulus pledges By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Asian stocks hardly budged in early holiday-thinned trade on Monday, with investors nervous as to how markets in mainland China would react to government economic stimulus promises over the weekend which, though broad, were light on detail.
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Dollar edges higher against major currencies as traders weigh US data

FOREX-Dollar edges higher against major currencies as traders weigh US data Updates prices throughout, adds analyst comment in paragraph 7 By Chibuike Oguh and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was flat against major currencies on Friday as markets digested a slew of economic data that supported the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy path.
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Dollar flat against peers as markets digest U.S. economic data

FOREX-Dollar flat against peers as markets digest U.S. economic data Updates headline, first paragraph, adds analyst comment; changes byline, dateline, previous TOKYO/LONDON By Chibuike Oguh, Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was little changed against major currencies on Friday as markets digested a slew of economic data that supported the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy path, while a rise in British economic growth could not lift the pound from one-month l
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FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive has been lacking and leaves dealers to manage time decay costs whilst retaining protection from impending risks. This scenario is reflected in FX option premium and trade flows. The USD has staged a recovery from its late September lows as the extent of the U.S.
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FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery Oct 11 (Reuters) - The recent price action in forward looking FX options shows a market fearful of a bigger USD recovery and positioning itself accordingly. FX positioning shifted sharply toward a weaker USD with the onset of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle. However, a modest USD recovery, driven by reduced expectations of rate cuts, has understandably fuelled concerns over further USD gains.
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China's yuan firms, investors hope for more stimulus news on Saturday

China's yuan firms, investors hope for more stimulus news on Saturday SHANGHAI, Oct 11 (Reuters) - China's yuan firmed against the retreating U.S. dollar on Friday but most traders were on the sidelines hoping Beijing would announce more stimulus measures this weekend to get the shaky economy on more solid footing. The Ministry of Finance will detail plans on fiscal stimulus at a much-anticipated news conference on Saturday morning.
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Dollar slips against yen after data shows labor market weakness, rising inflation

FOREX-Dollar slips against yen after data shows labor market weakness, rising inflation Updates headline, first paragraph and prices throughout, adds new analyst comment and Bostic interview By Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar slipped against the yen on Thursday as investors weighed data s howing labor market weakness as well as a slight uptick in consumer prices , suggesting that the Federal Reserve w ill likely continue cutting interest rates.
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Dollar edges down against yen after data shows uptick in US inflation, jobless claims

FOREX-Dollar edges down against yen after data shows uptick in US inflation, jobless claims Updates headline and prices throughout, adds analyst comment, and background on other currencies By Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged lower against the yen on Thursday after data showed s igns of labor market weakness and a higher-than-expected rise in U.S.
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FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence Price action in FX options suggests traders are anticipating a period of lower FX volatility before a resurgence in early November. Implied volatility for options expiring through the end of October is relatively low and sellers have been dominating the fairly limited trade flows. However, benchmark 1-month expiry options include the U.S.
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U.S CPI won't match NFP impact on FX, options show

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S CPI won't match NFP impact on FX, options show Oct 10 (Reuters) - FX volatility is an unknown, yet key parameter of an FX option 's premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in. The implied volatility attached to overnight options since their expiry included Thursday's U.S. CPI data is well below that seen before Friday's U.S.
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Dollar firm ahead of Fed minutes, kiwi falls after hefty rate cut

FOREX-Dollar firm ahead of Fed minutes, kiwi falls after hefty rate cut Updates with price levels as of 0540 GMT By Brigid Riley TOKYO, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The dollar drifted sideways on Wednesday, giving some relief to the yen and other major currencies after a sharp rally to a seven-week high last week, as investors paused to assess the interest rate outlook for the United States.
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Dollar keeps poise ahead of Fed minutes, kiwi falls after big rate cut

FOREX-Dollar keeps poise ahead of Fed minutes, kiwi falls after big rate cut Updates with prices as of 0425 GMT By Brigid Riley TOKYO, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The dollar drifted sideways on Wednesday, giving some relief to the yen and other major currencies after a sharp rally to a seven-week high last week, as investors paused to assess the interest rate outlook for the United States.
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China's yuan steady, eyes on additional stimulus, Fed meeting minutes

China's yuan steady, eyes on additional stimulus, Fed meeting minutes SHANGHAI, Oct 9 (Reuters) - China's yuan held steady against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, as investors awaited more stimulus from the world's second-largest economy and the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes due later in the day to gauge its policy path. The dollar .DXY held steady, giving some relief to the yuan after a sharp rally to a seven-week high last week.
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After gorging on China stimulus, markets await dessert

BUZZ-COMMENT-After gorging on China stimulus, markets await dessert Oct 9 (Reuters) - After a week of gorging on China's aggressive stimulus announcements, markets appear to be suffering from indigestion. Stocks have turned back down and the yuan has surrendered all its gains. But Beijing may still have dessert planned. When mainland China markets reopened Tuesday, the National Development and Reform Commission's much-anticipated press conference ended up leaving investors with a sour taste .
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