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Sterling faces potential pain threshold as data risk looms

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling faces potential pain threshold as data risk looms GBP/USD faces a potential slog in the near-term within last week's 1.3133-1.3011 range, but its recent losses have cast a spotlight on support around 1.30, which could open the way for further downside targets. Comments from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari highlighted the recent shift in policymakers' rhetoric in favor of "further modest" reductions in rates, instead of bolder cuts such as the 50bp move that kicked o
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FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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FX is going nowhere fast - according to options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX is going nowhere fast - according to options Oct 14 (Reuters) - Implied volatility serves as a proxy for realized FX volatility when pricing options. For very short-term expiries, implied volatility is currently exceptionally low. Overnight expiry is the next working day at 10-am New York/3-pm London and is the shortest duration option.
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Dollar hovers near highs as investors parse China's stimulus plans; euro slips

FOREX-Dollar hovers near highs as investors parse China's stimulus plans; euro slips Updates at 1120 GMT Euro falls ahead of ECB meeting, rate cut expected China's fiscal stimulus briefing disappoints investors Bitcoin and ether hit two-week highs By Medha Singh, Vidya Ranganathan SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near recent highs on Monday as investors digested China's weekend stimulus announcements that some found disappointing, while the euro extended its fall ahead of
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Forint pulls away from lows in thin trading

CEE MARKETS-Forint pulls away from lows in thin trading WARSAW, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint edged away from last week's lows in thin trading on Monday, while other regional currencies were muted ahead of a European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision later this week and with the conflict in the Middle East in focus. The euro weakened for an 11th time in 12 sessions as investors priced in a widely expected 25 basis point interest rate cut from the European Central Bank at its Oct.
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World shares stuck, oil tumbles as China stimulus plan too vague for investors

GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares stuck, oil tumbles as China stimulus plan too vague for investors China's stimulus announcement fails to inspire investors Q3 earnings, ECB in focus Oil prices down over 2.5% Updates prices, news throughout By Dhara Ranasinghe and Alun John LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Stock markets held below last month's record highs on Monday, while the Chinese yuan and oil prices weakened as China's broad economic stimulus promises at the weekend failed to inspire investors across t
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Sterling dips as investors look to UK jobs, inflation reports this week

Sterling dips as investors look to UK jobs, inflation reports this week Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh Graphic: Trade-weighted sterling since Brexit vote http://tmsnrt.rs/2hwV9Hv By Medha Singh LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The pound held near a one-month low against the dollar on Monday ahead of wage growth and inflation data this week that could help shape the Bank of England's next move at its policy review meeting next month.
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China doubts as economy struggles, US bonds closed

MORNING BID AMERICAS-China doubts as economy struggles, US bonds closed A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan With U.S. Treasury markets closed on Monday, Wall Street stocks are set to cruise on higher into the unfolding corporate earnings season - but may first have to take early direction from China's weekend stimulus update.
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ECB cut expected, guidance likely limited

BUZZ-COMMENT-ECB cut expected, guidance likely limited Oct 14 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank is expected to cut its deposit rate this month by another 25 bps to 3.25%, even though its president Christine Lagarde appeared to raise the bar to such a move at September's meeting by saying there would not be enough data. The limited data available – flash PMIs and inflation – as well as other central banks easing at a faster pace appear to have swayed the thinking of ECB officials.
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Dollar shorts will be hurt if a tech level is overcome

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar shorts will be hurt if a tech level is overcome Oct 14 (Reuters) - Remaining speculative U.S. dollar shorts will come under more pressure if there is sustained trading above a recently broken technical level. The speculative dollar short position - derived from net contracts of International Monetary Market speculators in the euro, yen, pound, Swiss franc, Canadian and Australian dollars - has fallen.
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Most EM currencies ease at start of busy week

EMERGING MARKETS-Most EM currencies ease at start of busy week Rate decisions in Indonesia, Turkey and Chile later this week Moody's upgrades Ghana's credit rating to "Caa2" By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 14 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies eased on Monday as investors awaited major risk events, including a European Central Bank rate decision later this week, while markets took stock of China's weekend stimulus announcements.
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Yuan exchange trading continues uninterrupted in Russia despite OFAC licence expiry

Yuan exchange trading continues uninterrupted in Russia despite OFAC licence expiry MOSCOW, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Trade in China's yuan proceeded as usual at the Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX) on Monday, despite the expiry of a licence from the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) on Oct. 12 that allowed banks to deal with MOEX.
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Dollar holds near highs as investors parse China's stimulus plans; euro dips

FOREX-Dollar holds near highs as investors parse China's stimulus plans; euro dips Updates at 0757 GMT By Vidya Ranganathan and Medha Singh SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near recent highs on Monday as investors digested China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements, while the euro extended its fall ahead of a central bank meeting this week.
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What matters most is traders are short dollars

BUZZ-COMMENT-What matters most is traders are short dollars Oct 14 (Reuters) - What matters most is that traders are short dollars against three of four major currencies and it's rising. Traders are short $16 billion versus the euro, the pound and the yen and they have also recently established a $2 billion short against Australia's dollar, which has dropped from over 0.69 toward 0.67. The USD index has gained around 3% in October with EUR/USD - which is 58% of the index - dropping from above 1.
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London stocks flat ahead of data-packed week; bookmakers fall

London stocks flat ahead of data-packed week; bookmakers fall For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window FTSE 100 flat; FTSE 250 down 0.1% Gambling firms slump on potential tax raid Ashmore up after Q1 results By Pranav Kashyap Oct 14 (Reuters) - The UK's main stock indexes opened largely flat on Monday as investors await a set of crucial economic data this week, while gambling firms fell after reports of the government considering
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FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options brace for a bigger USD recovery Repeats with no changes Oct 11 (Reuters) - The recent price action in forward looking FX options shows a market fearful of a bigger USD recovery and positioning itself accordingly. FX positioning shifted sharply toward a weaker USD with the onset of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle.
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What matters most to world markets in a tight US election race

RPT-GRAPHIC-What matters most to world markets in a tight US election race Repeats Oct 11 story for wider distribution, no changes to text LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - The U.S. presidential election, the most consequential vote for financial markets in an election-packed year, is weeks away. With Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump locked in a close race to win the Nov.
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Dollar holds gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans

FOREX-Dollar holds gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans Updates prices By Vidya Ranganathan SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar held onto its gains and even extended some in Asian trading on Monday as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention.
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China stimulus gets mixed reviews

MORNING BID EUROPE-China stimulus gets mixed reviews A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae Wee Beijing's latest stimulus pledges were met on Monday with a mixed and volatile response in Chinese stocks, with investors showing no consensus view on promises over the weekend that were long on intent but short on details. Hong Kong shares got off to a choppy start before turning decisively lower, in contrast with their peers in mainland China which mostly traded higher.
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Dollar extends gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans

FOREX-Dollar extends gains while investors parse China's stimulus plans By Vidya Ranganathan SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar extended its gains in early Monday trades in Asia as a holiday in Japan sapped liquidity, leaving China's somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements the focus of market attention. The euro was down 0.13% at $1.0922 EUR=EBS and the pound nearly 0.2% lower at $1.3043 GBP=D3 .
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