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Reuters - 3小时前

FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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Reuters - 3天前

FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive has been lacking and leaves dealers to manage time decay costs whilst retaining protection from impending risks. This scenario is reflected in FX option premium and trade flows. The USD has staged a recovery from its late September lows as the extent of the U.S.
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Reuters - 3天前

Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week Oct 11 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can bolster nearby support and resistance levels, whilst having a magnetic effect on FX price action, and there are plenty to note on Friday and the week ahead. The biggest nearby EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0945-50 on 1.5 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1000 on 3.3 billion euros, Wednesday at 1.0950-55 on 2.7 billion euros and on Thursday between 1.0975-90 on
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Reuters - 4天前

FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence Price action in FX options suggests traders are anticipating a period of lower FX volatility before a resurgence in early November. Implied volatility for options expiring through the end of October is relatively low and sellers have been dominating the fairly limited trade flows. However, benchmark 1-month expiry options include the U.S.
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Reuters - 6天前

FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks FX option implied volatility is broadly heavy as the USD consolidates its recent recovery and leaves G10 FX spot within familiar ranges without any real break-out catalysts. There has been an increase in FX volatility risk premium for USD call options as shown by near dated risk reversals in most of the major pairings, but those gains have since stalled.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - A firmer USD trade is lacking conviction

BUZZ-FX options wrap - A firmer USD trade is lacking conviction Oct 7 (Reuters) - The USD has recovered more ground since Friday's U.S. payroll data beat, and although FX options are primed for further USD gains, they lack the conviction for an extended move. Banks note USD demand on dips, especially EUR/USD in the mid 1.09s , which is also attracting huge FX option strike expiry hedging.
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Reuters - 1周前

Larger FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Larger FX option strike expiries this week Oct 7 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can add to any nearby support and resistance levels, whilst also having a magnetic effect on FX price action, and there are plenty on Monday and the rest of this week. Stand out EUR/USD strikes in the current vicinity are on Monday between 1.0950-60 on 3.1 billion euros and 1.0990-1.1000 on 1.6 billion euros.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - Wanting the USD and US election protection

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Wanting the USD and US election protection Options that give holders the right to buy U.S dollars were sought amid the USD recovery from new recent lows, and were a prudent bet given the Greenback has extended its gains since Friday's U.S. jobs data beat . The data and its revisions were much higher than expected, which has changed the narrative around the size and timing of impending U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX Options wrap: USD and premium gains warn of impending FX risks

BUZZ-FX Options wrap: USD and premium gains warn of impending FX risks FX option implied volatility remains underpinned by risk aversion as middle eastern tensions simmer and U.S. NFP, CPI and elections loom. The USD and FX option USD calls are in demand, with an increased premium for the latter. That's apparent when looking at benchmark 1-month expiry 25 delta risk reversal contracts for the USD against the major pairings, with EUR/USD up to 0.325 from 0.1 and GBP/USD to 0.5 from 0.15 USD calls
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Reuters - 2周前

If Swiss franc is too positive, SNB may go negative

BUZZ-COMMENT-If Swiss franc is too positive, SNB may go negative Oct 2 (Reuters) - The probability of the Swiss National Bank cutting interest rates below zero next year will increase if EUR/CHF slides through 0.9200 for the first time since the "Frankenshock" of January 2015. A stronger franc could exert further downward pressure on Swiss consumer price inflation, which slowed to 1.1% year-on-year in August and is forecast to remain at that level when September's print is revealed on Thursday a
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains FX volatility measures are trading higher amid the latest USD recovery and remain alert for additional gains. Implied volatility was already higher to recognise the increased realised volatility risk from Friday's impending U.S. jobs data , with Tuesday's USD gains adding to nerves and prompting additional demand.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX fear gauges show a greater risk of EUR/USD losses

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX fear gauges show a greater risk of EUR/USD losses Oct 1 (Reuters) - EUR/USD has been pinned to the 1.11's since trading at a new 13-month high above 1.1200 in late August, but the directional FX risk premium in FX option markets shows a greater risk of EUR/USD setbacks than of extended gains. Risk reversals are options that benefit from FX volatility in a particular direction and will consequently demand a volatility risk premium for related strikes.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election

REFILE-BUZZ-FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election Adds chart Sub 1-month expiry FX option implied volatility has reached new recent highs to reflect the impending FX risk from Fed speakers and U.S. data, which culminates with Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Implied volatility setbacks are likely to remain limited ahead of the NFP, with benchmark 1-month options soon to reflect the perceived U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put The JPY reversed higher after Sanae Takaichi, a less BoJ-friendly LDP leadership and future PM contender, lost the election to Shigeru Ishiba, who is now set to become Japan's next Prime Minister. USD/JPY and its implied volatility fell on the JPY relief rally as topside hedges were pared.
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Reuters - 2周前

Larger FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Larger FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Sept 27 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance, and there are plenty on Friday and for the week ahead. The biggest EUR/USD strikes are on Monday at 1.1200 on 1.2 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1080-85 on 1.6 billion euros and 1.1100 on 1.4 billion euros and Wednesday at 1.1025 on 2.2 billion euros, 1.1100 on 1.4 billion euros,
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning

BUZZ-FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning Sept 26 (Reuters) - There was no significant change to option implied volatility on Thursday, which remains just above levels seen at the start of the week. Overnight CHF-related implied volatility highlighted the uncertainty surrounding Thursday's SNB policy announcement , but a lesser 25bps cut helped to limit the FX reaction.
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Reuters - 3周前

USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Repeats with no changes Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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Reuters - 3周前

USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Repeats with no changes Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB A reluctance to build any significant short USD positions via USD put options could be highlighting a lack of conviction about deeper USD losses. EUR/USD is a case in point - testing above late August highs at 1.1201, but related implied volatility is only marginally higher and with limited demand or additional premium for topside strikes .
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Reuters - 3周前

USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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