NOPA September US soybean crush seen up, at 170.331 million bushels
By Karl Plume
CHICAGO, Oct 14 (Reuters) -The U.S. soybean crush likely rebounded in September from a near-three-year low the prior month while soyoil stocks thinned to the lowest in almost a decade, analysts said ahead of a National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) report due on Tuesday.
NOPA members, who handle about 95% of all U.S. processed soybeans, were estimated to have crushed 170.331 million bushels last month, according to the average of estimates from 10 analysts surveyed by Reuters.
If realized, it would be up 7.8% from the August crush of 158.008 million bushels, which was the lowest for any month since September 2021. It would also be up 2.9% from September 2023 when processors crushed 165.456 million bushels, which is the current record for the month of September.
Processors are anticipating having an ample supply of soybeans to crush in the coming months as the U.S. Department of Agriculture is forecasting a record-large 2024 U.S. harvest.
Crush estimates for September ranged from 164.000 million to 177.000 million bushels, with a median of 170.400 million bushels.
The NOPA report is scheduled for release at 11 a.m. CDT (1600 GMT) on Tuesday.
Soyoil stocks held by NOPA members as of Sept 30 were estimated at 1.083 billion lbs, based on estimates from seven analysts.
If the estimate is realized, it would be down 4.9% from 1.138 billion lbs at the end of August and the smallest end-of-month supply since December 2014. It would also be down 2.3% from the 1.108 billion lbs of oil held by NOPA members at the end of September last year.
Oil stocks estimates ranged from 865 million to 1.200 billion lbs, with a median of 1.100 billion lbs.
NOTE: Crush figures listed in millions of bushels and soyoil stocks are in billions of pounds.
Crush | Soyoil stocks | |
Average trade estimate | 170.331 | 1.083 |
Highest trade estimate | 177.000 | 1.200 |
Lowest trade estimate | 164.000 | 0.865 |
NOPA Aug 2024 | 158.008 | 1.138 |
NOPA Sept 2023 | 165.456 | 1.108 |
Marex, Terry Reilly | 174.700 | 1.173 |
Futures International | ||
Zaner Ag Hedge | 168.800 | 1.187 |
Linn & Associates | 177.000 | 1.200 |
Midland Research | 172.000 | |
Marex, Charlie Sernatinger | 165.000 | 1.100 |
Doane Advisory Services | 165.500 | 0.865 |
StoneX Group Inc | 174.237 | |
Advanced Economic Solutions | 166.000 | 1.075 |
McKeany - Flavell | ||
CHS Hedging | ||
Grain Service Corp | 164.000 | |
CrushTraders | 176.072 | 0.978 |
Reporting by Karl Plume; Editing by Mark Porter
免责声明: XM Group仅提供在线交易平台的执行服务和访问权限，并允许个人查看和/或使用网站或网站所提供的内容，但无意进行任何更改或扩展，也不会更改或扩展其服务和访问权限。所有访问和使用权限，将受下列条款与条例约束：(i) 条款与条例；(ii) 风险提示；以及(iii) 完整免责声明。请注意，网站所提供的所有讯息，仅限一般资讯用途。此外，XM所有在线交易平台的内容并不构成，也不能被用于任何未经授权的金融市场交易邀约和/或邀请。金融市场交易对于您的投资资本含有重大风险。
所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。
本网站上由XM和第三方供应商所提供的所有内容，包括意见、新闻、研究、分析、价格、其他资讯和第三方网站链接，皆保持不变，并作为一般市场评论所提供，而非投资性建议。所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为适用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。请确保您已阅读并完全理解，XM非独立投资研究提示和风险提示相关资讯，更多详情请点击 这里。
