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Technical Analysis – USDJPY tests new 3½-month high

USDJPY makes an attempt for steeper bullish actionsMACD and RSI confirm upside momentumUSDJPY is rising towards a fresh three-and-half-month high of 149.71, posting the fifth consecutive green 4-hour session. The next strong battle likely awaits at the 150.00 psychological level, but the next resistance lies at the 151.90 level, taken from the inside swing low on July 25. But first, the price needs to overcome the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is at 151.20.Otherwise, a decline ben
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high

US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straightThe US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals comin
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EURCHF is in the green, back inside the developing patternThe medium-term downward trend is still in placeMomentum indicators remain inconclusiveEURCHF is trading higher again today, a tad below the busy 0.9403-0.9423 area. Last week’s break below the lower trendline of the developing contracting triangle proved premature, as EURCHF quickly returned inside this pattern.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

ECB expected to cut rates by 25 bps; EURUSD remains beneath 1.1000UK CPI could provide some clues for the next BoE decision; GBPUSD in weak modeUS retail sales may lower chances for another Fed rate cut; USDJPY flirts with 149.35ECB decision -->  EURUSDThe upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday is this week's most anticipated event. Initially opposed by President Lagarde and her colleagues, the possibility of a rate decrease in October has gained traction among investors.�
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Technical Analysis – Gold might take another bullish shot

Gold enters a new bull run; shifts spotlight to all-time highTechnical signals point to more upside; close above 2,650 needed Gold started a new bullish corrective phase near the 2,600 level last week, adding extra credence to its upward trend that has been active for more than two months.On Monday, the price climbed to 2,666, surpassing the short-term falling trendline from September’s peak that the bulls must break to reach the top of 2,670 or achieve a new record high near the upper ban
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index slows down near September’s high

US 100 index holds within bullish area but lacks steamBulls need a close above 20,325-20,500 to strengthen uptrendThe US 100 stock index is about to open mildly lower on Friday despite upbeat US banking earnings, weighed by Tesla’s disappointing guidance on its self-driving robotaxis.The index stabilized around September’s high and near the constraining ascending line from September 2022 at 20,316 following its bounce off the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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Cryptocurrencies remain on the back footEthereum is still trading below its 50-day SMAMomentum indicators could turn bullishEthereum is recording a green session today, but it remains firmly below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which continues to act as strong resistance at this stage. The muted rally in stocks has failed to inspire crypto investors with yesterday's headlines that another crypto exchange is targeted by the SEC adding to the overall negative sentiment.In the meantime
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WTI oil futures turn up, create bullish candlestick patternOptimism could resurface if bulls break above 77.16-79.00WTI oil futures bounced swiftly up to 76.23 on Thursday, revealing that the bulls have not left town yet.While the price was struggling to find fresh buyers at the time of writing, the bullish doji candlestick pattern created over the past two days retained hopes for a bullish continuation.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY moves within consolidation area

EURJPY struggles to drop beneath 38.2% FibonacciMACD and RSI have weak momentumEURJPY has been developing within a trading range of 155.15-164.00 over the last couple of months, with strong resistance coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around 164.40.Technically, the RSI is pointing slightly above the neutral threshold of 50; howeve
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD extends its bullish rally to new 2-month high

USDCAD completes 8 green daysMACD and RSI indicate strong positive momentumUSDCAD skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3774 during yesterday's session, adding more than 2.5% following the rebound from the double bottom pattern around 1.3420. The aggressive buying activity above the 1.3650 barrier, which served as a neckline, completed the latest formation.Currently, the price is experiencing its eighth straight green day, with the technical oscillators showing more room for impro
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Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, USDCAD, gold

EURUSD retains selling interest beneath 1.0950USDCAD declines after aggressive buying interest to 2-month highGold finds support at 2,600 critical level
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF looks promising ahead of US CPI data

USDCHF finds fresh buying near 50-day SMA; rises to six-week highShort-term outlook remains positive, but a pullback cannot be ruled outUS CPI inflation data may create fresh volatility at 12:30 GMTUSDCHF secured strong footing near 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and extended its bullish break out of the monthly range to a six-week high of 0.8609 on Wednesday.Despite the current weak price momentum, the technical indicators suggest there could be more bullish potential.
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EURGBP is trading sideways, below the 0.8400 levelUpleg stopped at a downward sloping trendlineMomentum indicators could turn bullishIt has been a rather quiet session in EURGBP today as the market prepares for today’s Fed minutes release and tomorrow’s US inflation report. Euro bulls tried to extend the recent upleg, but their efforts stopped at the April 23, 2024 trendline with EURGBP now trading below the key 0.8400 area.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY hovers near 38.2% Fibonacci level

USDJPY creates bullish correction from 14-month lowRSI and MACD stand above their mid-levelsUSDJPY is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 136.56 at 148.10 but is failing to extend its rebound from the 14-month low of 139.56 above the previous peak of 149.35.Having a look at the technical oscillators, t
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD battles with 200-day SMA after RBNZ’s rate cut

NZDUSD continues the bearish correctionTechnical oscillators are mixedNZDUSD plunged significantly after the RBNZ’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 bps. The pair remained closed to the 0.6100 round number and is holding near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is acting as a strong support level.The technical oscillators are showing some contradicting signals.
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JP 225 index remains above uptrend lineRSI and MACD are mixedThe JP 225 cash index has reversed from the 40,000 psychological level, flirting with the red Tenkan sen line of the Ichimoku indicator and the short-term uptrend line.However, for now the technical oscillators reflect contradicting signals. The MACD, in the positive area is rising above its trigger lines, while the RSI is flattening above the neutral threshold of 50.If sellers sink deeper immediate support could come from the 100- and
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Technical Analysis – Gold bulls take a rest after rallying

Gold’s pace moderates within triangle prior to Thursday’s CPI inflation dataTechnical signals favor the bears, but the trend may remain positive Gold held within the range of 2,624-2,670 despite the upbeat US jobs data last Friday, forming a symmetrical neutral triangle at the top of its broad uptrend.Falling technical indicators suggest that buying sentiment is fading, leaving the precious metal vulnerable to downward movements in the upcoming sessions.That said, traders are unlikely to
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AUDJPY trades lower again, below the 200-day SMAThe bullish trend from the August 5 trough remains intactMomentum indicators are getting close to sending bearish signals AUDJPY is recording its second consecutive red candle today, dropping again below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). However, it managed to register a higher high first, and hence the bullish trend, which is in place since the August 5 low and is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, remains valid.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD loses 3% from 2½-year high

GBPUSD stops near 1.3100Momentum oscillators suggest upside recoveryGBPUSD is pausing its downward wave that started from the two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3433, hovering near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) marginally beneath the 1.3100 round level.  The pair has lost around 3%, with the technical oscillators indicating the end of the southward move.
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EURCHF is in the red today, after three green sessionsThe medium-term downward trend is still in placeMomentum indicators remain inconclusiveEURCHF is trading lower today, a tad below the September 26, 2022 low at 0.9403, and partly reversing the last three sessions’ upleg. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is acting as strong resistance with EURCHF continuing to move inside the contracting triangle pattern.
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